TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 10:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the Guyana Amazon Warriors versus Trinbago Knight Riders cricket match in the Caribbean Premier League. Currently, the consensus probability of Guyana Amazon Warriors winning is 94.0%, while Trinbago Knight Riders winning is estimated at 6.0%. These probabilities are aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, and the market will resolve based on whether Trinbago Knight Riders wins the match as defined by official match statistics. Keep an eye on September 12, 2026, as this is the current estimated resolution date for the match outcome.
This market refers to the cricket match between Barbados Tridents and Trinbago Knight Riders scheduled for September 5 2026 in Caribbean Premier League. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Trinbago Knight Riders men’s professional Caribbean Premier League cricket match scheduled for September 11, 2026, at 7:00 PM EDT. If either team is declared the official winner by the governing league, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions before the match begins also lead to a $0.50 resolution. If these occur after play has started and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves based on that official result.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many individuals, potentially incorporating insights not captured by conventional methods. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when subjective factors or unforeseen events are likely to influence the outcome of this market. However, both types of odds aim to accurately reflect the likelihood of each possible result.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Additionally, differing levels of information awareness among traders on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. For example, Polymarket currently favors a completed match at a high probability, while Kalshi leans toward Trinbago Knight Riders winning. These differences highlight how distinct market dynamics can shape perceptions of the likely outcome.