TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction market asks users to forecast which player will score the first touchdown in the NFL game between the Arizona Cardinals and the San Francisco 49ers. The markets cover a wide range of players, including quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. A separate market exists for 'any other player' or no touchdowns scored.
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Cardinals vs. 49ers.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Arizona vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026, with three possible outcomes: San Francisco scores first, Arizona scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, and a touchdown scored in overtime still counts toward the respective market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing levels of liquidity on each platform can create temporary imbalances. For example, a large bet on a specific player on Polymarket might temporarily inflate their odds there, while Kalshi might maintain a different price based on its own trading activity. This market’s current spread reflects these influences, with differing probabilities assigned to potential first touchdown scorers.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could shift probabilities. A key player being ruled out would likely alter the odds dramatically. Additionally, late-breaking reports about a player's role in the game plan, or even pre-game comments from coaches, could influence trader sentiment. The 24-hour volume is currently $7,314, and we anticipate increased activity as game day approaches and more information becomes available.