TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Cardiff and Swindon, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It considers different thresholds for wins by either team, without accounting for extra time or penalty shootouts. The result depends solely on how many goals separate the two teams after 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time.
The event evaluates whether Cardiff or Swindon achieves a victory margin exceeding specified goal differences in regulation time of their EFL Cup match scheduled for August 8, 2026. Regulation time includes the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any extra time periods or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Cardiff winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cardiff winning by more than 1.5 goals, Swindon winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Swindon winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the final score meets any of these conditions during regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent assessments and do not reflect official league designations or affiliations. The event strictly interprets 'win' as occurring within regulation time, with no consideration for post-regulation match phases.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or tactical changes by coaches could shift this market as the match approaches. Strong recent form from either team, especially in similar matchups, may also influence trader sentiment. Media narratives and pre-game polls can affect perceptions of momentum, while any last-minute lineup announcements might cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi before Aug 8, 2026.