TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Cardiff and Norwich, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a sufficient goal differential as specified. The result is determined solely by the performance in the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Cardiff or Norwich wins the match during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) in the Cardiff vs Norwich professional EFL Cup soccer game scheduled for August 25, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Cardiff winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cardiff winning by more than 1.5 goals, Norwich winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Norwich winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the actual goal difference meets or exceeds any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty phases entirely. All markets operate independently, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks, logos, and brand names.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively buy and sell contracts that represent the likelihood of different spread outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about how many goals will separate the two teams during regulation time. Prices adjust constantly based on trading volume and any new developments affecting the teams' prospects.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread recorded at the end of regulation time will determine which side wins, settling all open contracts based on that definitive result.
Several key developments could influence this market before Aug 25, 2026. Injuries to star players, changes in team management, or form during lead-up matches may shift trader expectations. Weather conditions or tactical decisions by coaches can also impact perceptions of likely outcomes. High-profile performances in practice or media commentary may cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any last-minute roster changes or strategic announcements will likely drive volatility in this market, reflecting updated probabilities based on fresh information.