TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 12:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the halftime result of the upcoming football match between Cardiff City FC and Wrexham AFC, scheduled for August 17, 2026. The markets focus on whether Cardiff City leads, Wrexham leads, or the match is drawn at halftime.
In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Cardiff City FC and Wrexham AFC, scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The market resolves based on the result of the Cardiff vs Swindon soccer match in Round 1 of the EFL Cup. If Cardiff advances past Swindon, the market for Cardiff advancing resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Swindon advances past Cardiff, the market for Swindon advancing resolves to Yes. References to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are purely descriptive and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation with FIFA.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through user-driven trading, while Kalshi may incorporate additional liquidity or different participant dynamics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, trader sentiment or regional participation can shift probabilities independently on each venue. The way each platform handles order flow and fee structures also plays a role, allowing prices to diverge until consensus forms. These differences are normal in prediction markets and often even out as the event draws nearer.