TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Caracas FC vs. Racing Club
polymarket
kalshi

Caracas FC vs. Racing Club

Volume:
$322,605

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 30, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,809
N/A
N/A
$45,028
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Caracas FC vs. Racing Club)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Racing Avellaneda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,652
N/A
N/A
$76,146
Settled
No
polymarket

Racing Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Caracas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,454
N/A
N/A
$47,174
Settled
No
polymarket

Caracas FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between Caracas FC and Racing Club.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi define contradictory resolution outcomes in the event of match cancellation with no make-up game. Polymarket's draw market resolves "Yes" on cancellation, while its win markets resolve "No"; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating ambiguity and potential settlement failure.Hero tip: Do not trade these markets until cancellation protocol is unified. If you hold positions, contact both platforms immediately post-event to confirm whether the match was completed or canceled, and demand explicit settlement confirmation in writing. Polymarket's asymmetric cancellation logic (draw=Yes, wins=No) is a structural flaw that may trigger disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Racing Club win, Caracas FC win, and draw. All resolve based on official CONMEBOL statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours of match end. Cancellation rule: Racing win and Caracas win resolve "No" if canceled with no make-up; draw resolves "Yes" if canceled with no make-up. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three markets bundled as a single event: Tie, Caracas win, or Racing Avellaneda win. All three resolve "Yes" if the match occurs and produces the specified outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Caracas vs Racing Avellaneda professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' Silence on cancellation creates settlement ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.