TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Caracas FC vs. Racing Club
Volume:
$322,605
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between Caracas FC and Racing Club.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi define contradictory resolution outcomes in the event of match cancellation with no make-up game. Polymarket's draw market resolves "Yes" on cancellation, while its win markets resolve "No"; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating ambiguity and potential settlement failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade these markets until cancellation protocol is unified. If you hold positions, contact both platforms immediately post-event to confirm whether the match was completed or canceled, and demand explicit settlement confirmation in writing. Polymarket's asymmetric cancellation logic (draw=Yes, wins=No) is a structural flaw that may trigger disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Racing Club win, Caracas FC win, and draw. All resolve based on official CONMEBOL statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours of match end. Cancellation rule: Racing win and Caracas win resolve "No" if canceled with no make-up; draw resolves "Yes" if canceled with no make-up. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
- Kalshi: Three markets bundled as a single event: Tie, Caracas win, or Racing Avellaneda win. All three resolve "Yes" if the match occurs and produces the specified outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Caracas vs Racing Avellaneda professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' Silence on cancellation creates settlement ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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