TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 12:23 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Caracas FC and Independiente Santa Fe, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Caracas FC" if Caracas FC score more goals than Independiente Santa Fe in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Caracas FC and Independiente Santa Fe score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Independiente Santa Fe" if Independiente Santa Fe score more goals than Caracas FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Caracas FC and Independiente Santa Fe, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Caracas FC" if Caracas FC score more goals than Independiente Santa Fe in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Caracas FC and Independiente Santa Fe score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Independiente Santa Fe" if Independiente Santa Fe score more goals than Caracas FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market aggregates decentralized trader conviction, which can sometimes lead to sharper or more efficient pricing than conventional bookmakers. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbooks can reveal where the two communities disagree on the second-half result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible second-half outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that balances supply and demand throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, once the second half of the Caracas FC versus Independiente Santa Fe match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team won the second half based on the final score during that period. Resolution timing depends on when the match finishes and official confirmation becomes available, after which traders' positions settle according to the actual result.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before it resolves. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers repricing. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders may adjust their second-half expectations based on momentum and fatigue patterns. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and tactical adjustments at halftime can also influence trader sentiment. Real-time events during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards in the second half, will drive final price movements until the whistle.