TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Carolina Panthers will win against the Cleveland Browns by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 74.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the CAR Panthers vs CLE Browns Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, as determined by the game’s final score. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 27, 2026, as the final point differential will determine the market’s resolution.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the CAR Panthers versus CLE Browns game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds the stated margin. For CAR Panthers markets, 'Yes' is triggered if they win by more than the specified points; for CLE Browns markets, 'Yes' occurs if they win by more than the stated margin. All markets are independent, and secondary disclaimers clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by what traders are willing to pay for contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate news and insights than traditional markets, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of an event. However, sportsbook odds still serve as a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a possible outcome – in this case, whether the Browns will cover the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score differential between the Carolina Panthers and the Cleveland Browns will be used to determine if the Browns covered the spread. The official NFL results will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing. The platform will automatically process payouts following verification.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Panthers or the Browns would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, even without external news. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.