TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a specific NFL game between the Carolina Panthers and the Cleveland Browns. It tracks performance strictly within the last quarter of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends entirely on which team demonstrates stronger offensive capabilities in that decisive segment of the game.
If Cleveland wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the CAR Panthers vs CLE Browns Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carolina wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the CAR Panthers vs CLE Browns Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the CAR Panthers vs CLE Browns Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities, and potentially identify opportunities where the market diverges from expert opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; there are no pre-defined odds set by a bookmaker, and the price adjusts dynamically with each trade.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if either, is winning at the end of the fourth quarter of the game between the Panthers and the Browns. The result will be based on the official game statistics, and the platform will verify the outcome against those sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Panthers or the Browns would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media trends, could also play a role. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants could quickly shift the price, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception.