TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:32 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the Carolina Panthers and Cleveland Browns score together in the final quarter of their football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to meet or exceed, with higher thresholds representing more scoring.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the 4th quarter of the designated game, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. The thresholds range incrementally from 3.5 to 24.5 points, allowing participants to assess different levels of scoring intensity in the game's final quarter. The official game must be the one originally scheduled for September 27, 2026, and only points scored during regulation 4th quarter play count toward resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly, potentially leading to different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Panthers-Browns game will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and changes in price indicate shifts in expectations as new information becomes available. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay to own a contract that pays out if their prediction is correct.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Panthers versus Browns game will be tallied from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether that total exceeds or falls below the threshold established in the market contracts. The final score will be sourced from official NFL data and verified to ensure accuracy before the market is closed and payouts are calculated.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Panthers or the Browns, particularly quarterbacks or key offensive contributors, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions impacting scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or tactical adjustments could also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, even public betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks might influence trading activity in this market.