TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points the Carolina Panthers and Cleveland Browns score together in the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the range of scoring during that specific quarter. The outcomes depend solely on the combined points scored in the second quarter, regardless of the final game result.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Carolina Panthers and Cleveland Browns during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined second-quarter points exceed that threshold. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution, and all markets share this same timing and scoring criteria. The governing league's official scoring and game records determine the outcome, with Kalshi explicitly stating it is not affiliated with or connected to the league in any official capacity.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of a specific outcome. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information, as traders continuously update their assessments. However, sportsbook odds provide a valuable benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time estimation of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Panthers-Browns game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine whether the total points exceeded or fell short of the market's threshold. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before game day. News regarding key player injuries for either the Panthers or the Browns would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Even late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could sway traders' opinions. As the game approaches, any updates related to team performance or potential lineup changes will be closely watched and reflected in the market price.