TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the first-half result of the Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 26, 2026. Bettors select the exact score they expect at the end of the first 45 minutes of play.
The market resolves based on the official first-half score of the Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 26, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific first-half scoreline, ranging from 0-0 draws to Saudi Arabia winning 3-1 or Cape Verde winning 3-1. The resolution is determined by the score recorded at the conclusion of the first half, with each possible scoreline representing a distinct market outcome. Only the first-half score is considered; full-match results are irrelevant to resolution.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may move faster or more dramatically than sportsbook lines during breaking news or late-stage shifts in team form. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and prediction market traders disagree on the halftime score probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares corresponding to each possible first-half correct score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of buy to sell pressure at any given moment, meaning odds adjust instantly as new trades execute. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price accuracy, while lower volume can widen the gap between bid and ask prices for less-popular scorelines.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia first half concludes and the final halftime score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources covering the match, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Once the halftime whistle sounds and official scoring is available, the market settles to reflect the correct score that occurred during the opening 45 minutes of play.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff—can significantly shift odds for specific halftime scores. Weather conditions, recent form streaks, and head-to-head history may also influence trader positioning. Late injury reports or surprise starting XI announcements often trigger sharp moves in this market. Additionally, early match momentum or unexpected early goals could prompt traders to reassess probabilities for various halftime scorelines as the first half unfolds and new information becomes available.