TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Canucks vs. Golden Knights
Volume:
$1,032,691
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 30, 2025 at 10:00 PM ET, the Vancouver Canucks will face the Vegas Golden Knights in an NHL regular season game. Markets will resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts (with one goal added to the winning team's total in shootout scenarios). The event group includes moneyline (winner) and multiple over/under total goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 thresholds).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on spread/margin outcomes (Vegas win margin vs. Vancouver win margin), while Polymarket settles on total goals, moneyline winner, and spread thresholds. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution dimensions for the same game.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on win margins (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal victories). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on combined scoring thresholds, moneyline winner, or spread thresholds (2+ or 3+ goal victories). A Vegas 3-1 win resolves YES on Kalshi spread markets but may resolve differently on Polymarket depending on which market you chose. Ensure you understand which dimension (margin vs. total vs. moneyline) you are trading before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four markets all focused on win margin outcomes. Markets resolve YES if Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals, Vegas wins by over 2.5 goals, Vancouver wins by over 1.5 goals, or Vancouver wins by over 2.5 goals. The resolution dimension is purely margin-based: 'If Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals in the Vancouver at Vegas professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six markets across three resolution dimensions: (1) moneyline (Canucks vs. Golden Knights winner), (2) total goals over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and (3) spread thresholds (Golden Knights -1.5 and -2.5). For example, the moneyline resolves to 'Canucks' or 'Golden Knights' based on winner, while O/U 4.5 resolves to 'Over' if combined goals are 5 or more: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Canucks and Golden Knights combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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