TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cangrejeros de Santurce vs. Criollos de Caguas
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Cangrejeros de Santurce vs. Criollos de Caguas?

Volume:
$25,133

Cangrejeros de Santurce

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 8:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cangrejeros de Santurce

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,715
N/A
N/A
$7,158
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cangrejeros de Santurce (-5.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cangrejeros de Santurce vs. Criollos de Caguas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Criollos de Caguas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,956
N/A
N/A
$9,123
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 185.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a professional BSN (Baloncesto Superior Nacional) Puerto Rico basketball game between Cangrejeros de Santurce and Criollos de Caguas scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the winner of this single matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Cangrejeros win or Criollos win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly implements winner-based resolution.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi. Use Polymarket exclusively for this matchup. Confirm final game result on official BSN Puerto Rico website (bsnpr.com) and account for postponement or cancellation scenarios per Polymarket rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction in resolution mapping. Both outcomes (Cangrejeros win OR Criollos win) resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Cangrejeros de Santurce wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Criollos de Caguas wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates an impossible settlement where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
  • Polymarket: Winner-based categorical resolution with explicit edge case handling. Quote: 'If Cangrejeros de Santurce win, resolves to Cangrejeros de Santurce. If Criollos de Caguas win, resolves to Criollos de Caguas.' Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) protocols.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming BSN game, scheduled for July 12 at 6:00PM ET: If the Cangrejeros de Santurce win, the market will resolve to "Cangrejeros de Santurce". If the Criollos de Caguas win, the market will resolve to "Criollos de Caguas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the winner of the professional BSN Puerto Rico basketball game originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the rescheduling occurs within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Cangrejeros vs. Criollos matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing you to monitor real-time odds on the game outcome. Traders on both venues are pricing their views of which team will win, and the dashboard displays current probabilities alongside cumulative trading volume across both platforms. By tracking this market in one place, you can spot pricing divergences between venues and identify shifts in trader sentiment as new information emerges about team form, injuries, or other factors affecting the matchup.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Prediction market odds often reflect real-time information and can move faster than sportsbook lines, especially as new developments break. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional action and tighter risk management. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges and highlight potential value opportunities in either venue.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical records. Unexpected lineup adjustments or coaching decisions announced before the game can shift trader positioning significantly. Public statements from team management or star players may also influence sentiment. As the matchup date approaches, accumulating data on current form, weather conditions, and travel factors typically drive incremental repricing. Breaking news about player availability or team morale can trigger sharp moves in either direction, especially if it contradicts prior expectations.