TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 12:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs and bets of participants. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads, depending on trader sentiment, news, and recent form. Monitoring both sources allows bettors to spot potential value or divergence in expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set the odds through their bets, creating a dynamic price that reflects the latest consensus. The top outcome’s chance is represented by a percentage derived from the total volume and bet distribution. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or form updates — traders adjust their positions, shifting the market price accordingly. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid response to breaking news.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion — specifically, which player is declared the winner after all matches in the series have been completed. Once the result is publicly confirmed, the market settles automatically based on the declared outcome.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including player injuries, changes in form or performance, key matches leading up to the main event, and any related news coverage. Bets will likely react strongly to tournament updates, such as wins or losses in preceding rounds, as well as any strategic adjustments made by the players’ teams. As the event draws nearer, trader sentiment may also be influenced by pre-match analysis and media coverage.