TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 9:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Luka Pavlovic in the Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Luka Pavlovic in the Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven by trader sentiment rather than set by bookmakers. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or margins, this market lets participants bet directly on their beliefs, sometimes showing wider or narrower spreads depending on recent performance and public discussion.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly once the information is widely available and confirmed.
Injuries, weather delays, or changes in player form could shift this market before Aug 24, 2026. Media coverage, betting trends, and performance in lead-up matches may also influence trader sentiment. Any new information that affects the perceived likelihood of each outcome can cause noticeable price movements on Polymarket as the event approaches.