TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Kei Nishikori in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Kei Nishikori. This market will resolve to 'Kei Nishikori' if Kei Nishikori advances against Michael Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Kei Nishikori in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Kei Nishikori. This market will resolve to 'Kei Nishikori' if Kei Nishikori advances against Michael Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time adjustments. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on historical data and analyst forecasts, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of participants who can react instantly to new information. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as the match date approaches. Comparing the two can reveal shifts in sentiment or emerging insights not yet priced into sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the market’s current probability. The top outcome’s displayed chance reflects the inverse of its trading price at any moment. Volume and recent trade activity also influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, such as player injuries or weather updates. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid shifts based on crowd-sourced expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the contract pays out based on which player advances. Resolution occurs automatically once the match result is widely reported and confirmed through standard public sources, aligning with the timeline of the tournament schedule.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player withdrawals could shift this market significantly before resolution. Media updates, betting trends from traditional sportsbooks, and analyst commentary may also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any change in player form or tournament conditions can cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting updated expectations for who will progress. Monitoring news feeds and practice session reports can help anticipate these moves.