TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 7:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the combined games in the Canadian Open match between Matteo Berrettini and Mariano Navone will exceed 22.5 games, and on Polymarket the current probability for the Over 22.5 games outcome is 100%, according to ATP Tour scoring data at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match was originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, serving as the key reference point for resolution, with the final resolution expected by August 10, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Mariano Navone in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Matteo Berrettini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result follows the official match conclusion, reflecting who wins the contest and thereby settling all positions on this market based on that final determination.
Several key developments could shift this market before Aug 10, 2026. Injuries, sudden form changes, or crucial early-round matches involving either player often reshape expectations rapidly. Weather conditions or scheduling adjustments may also impact performance variables, especially on outdoor courts. Media narratives and coach strategies sometimes create short-term momentum swings that traders interpret instantly. Any last-minute withdrawals or surprise line-up decisions would produce sharp price movements, while betting trends on Polymarket can amplify or dampen these shifts based on trader sentiment.