TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the total goals scored in the Canada vs. Morocco FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 4, 2026, specifically whether the combined goal count will exceed 1.5 goals. The consensus probability across Predict and Polymarket shows 100.0% for the over 1.5 goals outcome. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics and event organizer data as published on fifa.com, or if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, by consensus of credible reporting. Watch for the final whistle on July 4, 2026, when the official goal tally will settle all related markets.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, July 4, 2026 between Canada and Morocco.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price risk differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin; prediction markets reflect what traders actually believe will happen, since participants stake real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may diverge from major sportsbooks because prediction traders operate without the same regulatory constraints and often incorporate live sentiment shifts faster. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers or decentralized traders are more bullish on a particular outcome, offering arbitrage signals for sharp bettors.
Polymarket and Predict attract different trader demographics, liquidity depths, and fee structures, causing price divergence even on identical outcomes. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. One platform may see heavier volume on match result contracts while the other concentrates on goal-based props, fragmenting the price discovery process. Regulatory geography, withdrawal speed, and UI design also influence which traders gravitate to each venue. Monitoring both simultaneously reveals arbitrage opportunities and helps you identify which platform's crowd is more informed on this particular fixture.
Team news, injury reports, and lineup announcements typically drive sharp repricing in the days before kickoff. Weather conditions at the venue, recent form streaks, and head-to-head history can shift trader conviction. Live match action—early goals, red cards, or tactical shifts—will cause rapid repricing if this market remains open during play. Monitor official team social media, credible sports journalists, and betting market movers for clues. Late-breaking roster changes or venue issues are the most volatile catalysts, often triggering sudden volume spikes and odds swings.