TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Morocco will advance past Canada in their Round of 16 matchup at the FIFA World Cup. On Kalshi, Morocco advancing is priced at 98.0%, while Canada advancing stands at 1.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result of the Canada vs Morocco soccer match, which may include regulation time, extra time, or penalty shootout. Watch for the final whistle on July 4, 2026, when the Round of 16 match concludes and advancement is officially determined.
If Canada advance past Morocco in the Canada vs Morocco soccer match in the Round Of 16 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morocco advance past Canada in the Canada vs Morocco soccer match in the Round Of 16 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders who have real money at stake on accuracy. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as the event date approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the live odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent matched trade and the depth of pending orders at various levels. As traders enter or exit positions based on new developments, the market price adjusts in real time, creating a dynamic reflection of collective expectations about the match outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match result as reported by recognized football authorities. Until that point, the market remains open for trading, allowing participants to adjust positions based on team news, injuries, weather, or other factors that may influence performance.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts disclosed by coaching staff. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and late-breaking news about player availability can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, if either team's qualification status or tournament standing changes, or if related matches produce unexpected results, this market may see significant volume and volatility as traders reassess probabilities.