TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:18 PM EST
Kalshi
Betting interest will focus on the margin of victory in the Canada vs Chile match, particularly whether one team dominates by a significant gap. The result will indicate which team, if any, establishes a decisive lead during regulation time.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if either Canada or Chile wins the professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A market resolves to Yes if Canada wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Chile wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. The secondary rule states that the platform has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by individual traders, tends to aggregate diverse information and beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and represent a common benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure liquidity and facilitate trading, and the current prices are constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Canada vs Chile match, specifically the spread as determined by official sports data providers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the process is complete.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups for either Canada or Chile would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or weather conditions could also shift the market. Furthermore, any major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.