TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group covers various markets related to the FIFA International Friendly match between Canada and Chile on September 26th. Markets include spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score, with resolution based on official match statistics.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentive structures and participant base. Sportsbooks aim to profit from setting lines, while prediction markets allow users to directly express their beliefs and potentially profit from accurate forecasts. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, as prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions and quickly adjust to new information. While sportsbooks may incorporate subjective factors, this market relies on collective intelligence. The difference can also stem from varying levels of liquidity and market maturity, with prediction markets sometimes offering more nuanced outcomes.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, influencing how participants value different outcomes. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can impact price discovery; lower liquidity can lead to greater price volatility. The specific market design – for example, the available spreads or margin requirements – can also contribute to discrepancies. The differing probabilities reflect the unique perspectives of traders on each platform regarding the Canada vs. Chile match.