TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 4:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Canada wins by 2 or more goals against Morocco during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 4, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if Canada wins by 2 or more goals against Morocco during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 4, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and real-money commitment. This market's odds reflect what traders genuinely expect to happen, unfiltered by bookmaker margins. Comparing this market's price to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Canada-Morocco match concludes and the final goal differential is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official match result—specifically, whether Canada's margin of victory is two goals or greater. Resolution is verified against credible public sources covering the event. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once the result is finalized and the market settles.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form heading into the match. Betting market shifts at major sportsbooks can also influence trader sentiment here. Tactical adjustments, weather conditions on match day, and any pre-game developments affecting either team's confidence may prompt repricing. As the match approaches, accumulating information about squad readiness and competitive momentum typically drives the most significant price movements in this market.