TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines whether Campbell, Florida, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. All touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The event includes three possible outcomes corresponding to each team scoring first or no touchdown being scored by either side.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to each team being the first to score. Discrepancies can arise due to differing analyses, public perception, or even late-breaking news impacting the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring – in this case, either Campbell or Florida scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the game’s opening score.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown in the Campbell vs Florida game, as determined by official game statistics. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract and fulfilling payouts to traders who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Campbell or Florida would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant public betting trends observed in sportsbooks might prompt traders to adjust their positions in this market.