TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same Cambuur versus Nijmegen Eredivisie match. It assesses whether the winning team achieves a victory by a specific goal differential, reflecting the competitive balance between the two sides.
This event evaluates whether Cambuur or Nijmegen wins the specified Eredivisie match by a margin exceeding particular thresholds. Two markets exist: one for Cambuur winning by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, and another for Nijmegen winning by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. The match must be played as scheduled for September 12, 2026, and only regular time goals (including stoppage time) count towards the outcome—extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. The market resolves to Yes if the stated condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from many participants. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or differing assessments of the teams’ strengths. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow traders to continuously update their beliefs as new information becomes available, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Cambuur vs Nijmegen match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the spread.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread result of the Cambuur vs Nijmegen match. The platform will utilize publicly available, authoritative sources to determine the final result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor these sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final outcome and the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.