TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Cambridge and Wimbledon. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the EFL League One, and only goals scored within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time count toward the result.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for total goals scored in the Cambridge versus Wimbledon EFL League One soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed based solely on the number of goals scored during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from all calculations. A 'Yes' outcome for any threshold occurs only if the cumulative goals meet or exceed that specific threshold. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. Over time, the odds on Kalshi may converge with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and both markets react to news and analysis regarding the Cambridge vs Wimbledon match. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing market participants and information processing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Cambridge vs Wimbledon match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the final result. The market depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential goal tally.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total number of goals scored in the Cambridge vs Wimbledon match will determine the winning contract. Any goals scored during regular play, including stoppage time, will be counted towards the total. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cambridge or Wimbledon would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or referee, could also cause volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different total goal outcomes will likely move this market.