TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 12:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Cambodia and Bhutan (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 4, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this binary outcome is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders for YES (4+ cards) and NO (fewer than 4 cards) contracts. The current mid-market price reflects the balance of bullish and bearish positions. As match kickoff approaches and team lineups, referee assignments, and historical card patterns become clearer, prices adjust to incorporate new information. Liquidity and trading volume on Limitless determine how quickly prices move in response to breaking news or sentiment shifts.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the Cambodia versus Bhutan match concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final card count issued by the match referee and governing football authority. The outcome will be YES if Cambodia and Bhutan receive 4 or more combined yellow and red cards throughout the full match, or NO if they receive fewer than 4 total cards. Once the match ends and official records are confirmed, the prediction market settles accordingly.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury news, which affect player availability and defensive intensity. Referee assignment can shift card expectations, as different officials have varying disciplinary tendencies. Historical head-to-head records, recent form, and disciplinary records of key players influence perceived card risk. Pre-match analysis from football analysts and tactical previews may reveal aggressive playing styles or rivalry intensity. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and match stakes (tournament stage, playoff implications) also drive card frequency. Real-time updates during the match—early red cards, accumulating yellows, or tactical changes—will move odds sharply.