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Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier
kalshi
polymarket

Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier

Volume:
$57,148

Paris Gentle Mates

 - Kalshi

Paris Gentle Mates - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 5:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Paris Gentle Mates

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,059
N/A
N/A
$19,011
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vancouver Surge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,009
N/A
N/A
$19,941
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a best-of-five Call of Duty League match between Vancouver Surge and Paris Gentle Mates in the Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Markets span match winner, total games played, and individual game outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution logic: match completion status, game counting rules, forfeit treatment, and primary source (Liquipedia with fallback to credible consensus reporting).Primary resolution logic: Liquipedia Call of Duty League official records (https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page); credible reporting consensus with video evidence if Liquipedia unavailable within 2 hours of event conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team that wins the best-of-five series (first to 3 games).
  • Games Total O/U 3.5 resolves Over if 4+ games are played; Under if fewer than 4 games are played.
  • Games Total O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5 games are played; Under if fewer than 5 games are played.
  • Individual game winners (Game 1, 2, 3, 4) resolve based on the outcome of that specific game if completed.
  • Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default count toward game totals provided the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled, not played, ends in a tie, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • If the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover before a series winner is determined, match-winner markets resolve 50-50; game-specific markets resolve based on completed games only.
  • If the clinching game is forfeited, the match counts as completed and resolves to the team that clinched.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Match with Series Winner: If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover before a series winner is determined, match-winner markets resolve 50-50. However, game-specific markets resolve based on completed games only.
  • Clinching Game Forfeiture: If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited, this counts as a completed match and resolves to the team that clinched the series.
  • Cancellation or Tie: If the match is canceled, not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Team Name Discrepancies: Minor name discrepancies, abbreviations, alternate spellings, sponsor tags, and formatting differences are treated as referring to the same team if the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified. If no reasonable connection exists or ambiguity cannot be resolved, markets resolve 50-50.
  • Source Availability: Primary resolution source is Liquipedia. If Liquipedia has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the match or determination that the match will not be completed. If Liquipedia does not publish results within 2 hours of event conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets resolve no later than 7 days from the scheduled date (June 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET); if no winner is determined by that deadline, markets resolve 50-50.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Vancouver Surge and Paris Gentle Mates in the Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier, initially scheduled for June 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vancouver Surge" if Vancouver Surge win the match against Paris Gentle Mates. This market will resolve to "Paris Gentle Mates" if Paris Gentle Mates win the match against Vancouver Surge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers 2026 match between Paris Gentle Mates and Vancouver Surge scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Vancouver Surge vs Paris Gentle Mates match across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking real-time odds and consensus forecasts for the outcome of this Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers best-of-five contest. Traders on both platforms contribute liquidity and pricing signals, allowing you to monitor how the market views each team's chances as the event approaches. The cross-platform view reveals whether consensus is forming or if divergent assessments exist between communities, providing a comprehensive snapshot of predictive sentiment around this matchup.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer pricing, where traders themselves set odds through buy and sell orders rather than relying on oddsmakers. This often produces sharper, more reactive lines because the crowd continuously updates beliefs as new information emerges. Sportsbooks, by contrast, manage risk and margins through fixed spreads and limits. For esports events like this one, prediction markets may reflect deeper analytical consensus, though sportsbook odds sometimes lead on high-volume matchups. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand how different market structures price the same outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, fee structures, liquidity depth, and settlement rules can cause price divergence. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract traders with distinct regional preferences, risk tolerances, or information sets. Liquidity imbalances on one platform can push odds away from fair value, while differences in how each platform handles order matching or manages extreme outcomes can create arbitrage opportunities. Additionally, each platform's community may weight recent team performance, roster changes, or head-to-head history differently, leading to measurable odds gaps that persist until traders exploit them.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent tournament performance and map pool adjustments, and head-to-head scrim results if leaked or discussed publicly. Patch updates to the game itself can shift meta dynamics and team preparation timelines. Media analysis, expert predictions, and community sentiment on social platforms often precede price moves on this market. Betting action from sharp traders or institutional accounts can also signal new information. Monitor official CDL updates, team social channels, and esports news outlets for developments that might influence how traders reassess each team's championship prospects in the qualifier.