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Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier
kalshi
polymarket

Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier

Volume:
$401,894

Riyadh Falcons

 - Kalshi

Riyadh Falcons - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 7:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Riyadh Falcons

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202,676
N/A
N/A
$115,454
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$59,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carolina Royal Ravens

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$138,398
N/A
N/A
$81,074
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a best-of-five Call of Duty League match between Riyadh Falcons and Carolina Royal Ravens in the Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets span individual game winners (Games 1–4), series outcome, and game totals (O/U 3.5 and O/U 4.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's binary yes/no structure conflates match completion with outcome, whereas Polymarket segregates individual game outcomes and series winner. Kalshi resolves Yes for any decisive result; Polymarket resolves to specific team names or 50-50 based on completion and forfeit status.Hero tip: Kalshi is a match-completion bet, not a team-outcome bet. Polymarket Game and Series markets are team-outcome bets. These are not fungible. If you believe the match will be played and decided, Kalshi Yes is a hedge; if you believe a specific team will win, use Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Defines five distinct markets: Series Winner (Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens), Game 1–4 Winners, and Game Totals (O/U 3.5 and O/U 4.5). Series winner resolves to the team name if match is completed; 50-50 if canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without play. Individual game markets resolve 50-50 if the game is not completed. Forfeits/walkovers during play count as completed matches and resolve to the winning team; pre-match forfeits resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.'
  • Kalshi: Defines a single binary yes/no market: 'If Carolina Royal Ravens wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Riyadh Falcons wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit cancellation, tie, or delay logic provided. Implicitly, any decisive match result (either team winning) resolves to Yes. No team-specific outcome differentiation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Riyadh Falcons and Carolina Royal Ravens in the Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier, initially scheduled for June 14 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Riyadh Falcons" if Riyadh Falcons win the match against Carolina Royal Ravens. This market will resolve to "Carolina Royal Ravens" if Carolina Royal Ravens win the match against Riyadh Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers 2026 match between Carolina Royal Ravens and Riyadh Falcons scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently due to their distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a built-in margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order books, often reflecting sharper consensus when liquidity is deep. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than traditional sportsbooks depending on trader confidence and volume. Prediction markets can sometimes lead sportsbooks in pricing shifts because traders respond instantly to new information, whereas sportsbooks adjust lines more cautiously to manage risk. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks helps identify potential value or consensus divergence.

Polymarket and Kalshi may price this matchup differently for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Polymarket typically sees higher volume on esports events, potentially tightening odds through deeper order books, while Kalshi may reflect a smaller, more specialized cohort of traders. Regulatory differences, settlement mechanics, and the timing of large trades can also create temporary spreads. These price gaps often narrow as arbitrageurs exploit differences, but watching both platforms reveals how various market segments view the outcome.

Several catalysts could shift odds before the match concludes. Recent tournament performances by either team, roster changes or player injuries, coaching adjustments, and head-to-head map pool analysis often trigger repricing. Scrimmage results or public statements from players and analysts can sway trader sentiment. In-match momentum swings—particularly if one team takes an early series lead—typically drive sharp price movement as traders update their win probability. Community discussion on esports forums and social media may also influence retail trader positioning. Monitor official Call of Duty League announcements and team social channels for breaking news that could impact this market.