TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the game might be.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by California and Syracuse in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 34.5 to 76.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe the actual total points will be higher or lower than the sportsbook's line, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The most actively traded contracts currently suggest a certain range is favored, but that can change rapidly.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the California versus Syracuse game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to the total points scored, and contracts predicting that outcome or a range including that outcome will be considered winning contracts. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for settling this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the California or Syracuse teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. As the game draws closer, even the release of starting lineups can cause shifts in the odds as traders react to the information.