TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in making field goals during their matchup. It focuses on whether each team achieves specific minimum numbers of successful field goal attempts throughout the game, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the official number of made field goals by each team during the California vs Syracuse college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Any field goals made during overtime count toward the final tally. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for resolution: markets labeled '1+' resolve if a team makes at least one field goal, '2+' requires at least two, and '3+' requires three or more. The markets apply separately to both California and Syracuse, allowing for distinct outcomes for each team's performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook's line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded, as the market attempts to establish a true probability based on available information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different field goal totals, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective beliefs of all participants. The current price represents the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored by both California and Syracuse in the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either California or Syracuse would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for kicking, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team performance could also shift the market. Finally, any large trades executed on Kalshi itself can cause immediate price fluctuations, reflecting a change in sentiment among traders.