TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many rushing touchdowns each team scores in a specific college football matchup. It focuses solely on offensive performance through ground game achievements, ignoring other scoring methods like passes or defensive scores.
All markets resolve based on the official number of rushing touchdowns scored by each team during the California vs Syracuse college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, including any overtime periods. A rushing touchdown is defined as a player scoring by running the ball into the end zone, with specific provisions for fumble recoveries: if a player recovers their own fumble and subsequently scores, it counts; however, if another player recovers a fumble by the ball carrier and scores, it does not count as a rushing touchdown for the original ball carrier. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, and may be more influenced by factors like public betting patterns or promotional considerations. While both aim to predict the outcome, this market’s pricing can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines due to the different methodologies and information sources used. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the game’s potential.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing touchdowns scored by both California and Syracuse in the game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of rushing touchdowns will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the running game. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking information regarding player availability or game-day conditions could lead to substantial price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for informed trading decisions.