TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:36 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the fourth quarter of a college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to resolve as 'Yes', reflecting varying expectations of scoring intensity in the final period.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams specifically during the fourth quarter of the California vs Syracuse college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points. If the collective points exceed the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out $1 per share if the outcome matches their prediction. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the California vs Syracuse 4th quarter. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair chance of a specific points total.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the California vs Syracuse 4th quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be used to determine whether the 'Over' or 'Under' contracts will pay out. The official box score from the game will serve as the definitive record for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the information is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either California or Syracuse would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups might also shift expectations. Finally, as the game approaches, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely outcome could influence traders’ decisions.