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404,028
Markets across
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:36 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on determining whether one team will outscore the other by a specific margin in the final quarter of a college football game. The outcomes depend entirely on the scoring differential during that specific period of play.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the California vs Syracuse college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, excluding overtime. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory within that quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it proceeds as scheduled. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the fourth quarter count toward resolution, and all markets are independent of each other, each requiring the specified margin to be exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the true probability of the California vs Syracuse spread. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd’s sentiment diverges from professional oddsmakers’ expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring in the fourth quarter of the California vs Syracuse game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic representation of expectations for the California vs Syracuse spread.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the fourth quarter of the California vs Syracuse game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the final spread, based on the contract they held. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the California vs Syracuse spread between now and game day. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also shift expectations. Finally, any major public statements from analysts or influential figures regarding the game's likely outcome could lead to price adjustments in this market.