TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
California Golden Bears vs. Boston College Eagles
Volume:
$1,597,964
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the California Golden Bears and Boston College Eagles scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-4.5 and -3.5), and over/under (140.5) outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (California win and Boston College win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound but contain a threshold divergence across two separate spread markets (-4.5 vs -3.5).Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market—it cannot be settled. Focus on Polymarket markets. Be aware that a 4-point California victory will resolve differently on the two Polymarket spread markets: the -4.5 spread resolves to Boston College Eagles, while the -3.5 spread resolves to California Golden Bears. Use NCAA.com final score as the authoritative source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both California win and Boston College win resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. No clear winner can be determined. Key Quote: 'If California wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Boston College wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (California Golden Bears or Boston College Eagles). Two separate spread markets use different thresholds: -4.5 requires 5+ point margin for California, -3.5 requires 4+ point margin for California. Over/Under at 140.5 combined points. All markets include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to California Golden Bears if the California Golden Bears win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Boston College Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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