TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Volume:
$57,787
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between California Baptist Lancers and Southern Utah Thunderbirds scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different market architectures to cover the same game. Kalshi offers 14 granular point-differential markets; Polymarket offers 4 discrete markets (moneyline, two spreads, three totals). The underlying resolution logic is identical, but the market structure and granularity differ.Hero Tip:
Both platforms will resolve to the same final score. Kalshi's multiple markets allow fine-grained betting on specific point ranges; Polymarket's markets are simpler and more liquid. No contradiction exists—this is a product design difference, not a settlement risk. Watch for postponement or cancellation announcements; both platforms resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 14 separate YES/NO markets, each tied to a specific point-differential threshold (3.5, 6.5, 9.5, 12.5, 15.5, 18.5, 21.5 points for both Cal Baptist wins and Southern Utah wins). Each market resolves YES if its threshold is met, NO otherwise. Example: Market 1 resolves YES if Cal Baptist wins by more than 3.5 points; Market 3 resolves YES if Southern Utah wins by more than 3.5 points.
- Polymarket: Four distinct markets: (1) Moneyline—resolves to winner name only; (2) Spread -5.5—resolves to Cal Baptist if they win by 6+, else Southern Utah; (3) Spread -6.5—resolves to Cal Baptist if they win by 7+, else Southern Utah; (4) Three Over/Under totals (146.5, 147.5, 149.5)—each resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, else Under.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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