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402,751

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California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds
kalshi
polymarket

California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Volume:
$57,787

California Baptist wins by over 6.5 Points

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

California Baptist wins by over 6.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,094
N/A
N/A
$8,555
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

California Baptist wins by over 3.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,019
N/A
N/A
$4,492
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 149.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 147.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

California Baptist wins by over 12.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,327
N/A
N/A
$13,226
Settled
No
kalshi

California Baptist wins by over 9.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,351
N/A
N/A
$7,168
Settled
No
kalshi

California Baptist wins by over 15.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,226
N/A
N/A
$4,210
Settled
No
kalshi

California Baptist wins by over 18.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,167
N/A
N/A
$2,028
Settled
No
kalshi

California Baptist wins by over 21.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
$603
Settled
No
kalshi

Southern Utah wins by over 21.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
$260
Settled
No
kalshi

Southern Utah wins by over 6.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Southern Utah wins by over 18.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
kalshi

Southern Utah wins by over 12.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
No
kalshi

Southern Utah wins by over 15.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
No
kalshi

Southern Utah wins by over 9.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Southern Utah wins by over 3.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

A men's college basketball game between California Baptist Lancers and Southern Utah Thunderbirds scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use different market architectures to cover the same game. Kalshi offers 14 granular point-differential markets; Polymarket offers 4 discrete markets (moneyline, two spreads, three totals). The underlying resolution logic is identical, but the market structure and granularity differ.Hero tip: Both platforms will resolve to the same final score. Kalshi's multiple markets allow fine-grained betting on specific point ranges; Polymarket's markets are simpler and more liquid. No contradiction exists—this is a product design difference, not a settlement risk. Watch for postponement or cancellation announcements; both platforms resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 14 separate YES/NO markets, each tied to a specific point-differential threshold (3.5, 6.5, 9.5, 12.5, 15.5, 18.5, 21.5 points for both Cal Baptist wins and Southern Utah wins). Each market resolves YES if its threshold is met, NO otherwise. Example: Market 1 resolves YES if Cal Baptist wins by more than 3.5 points; Market 3 resolves YES if Southern Utah wins by more than 3.5 points.
  • Polymarket: Four distinct markets: (1) Moneyline—resolves to winner name only; (2) Spread -5.5—resolves to Cal Baptist if they win by 6+, else Southern Utah; (3) Spread -6.5—resolves to Cal Baptist if they win by 7+, else Southern Utah; (4) Three Over/Under totals (146.5, 147.5, 149.5)—each resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, else Under.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.