TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.9b

24H VOL:

$213,626,991

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,816,443,416

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,855,805,452

492,440

Markets across

36,631

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,819

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Calgary vs Vegas: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Calgary vs Vegas?

Volume:
$758,711

Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 1:05 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$261,823
N/A
N/A
$188,698
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vegas wins by over 2.5 goals

100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$226,021
N/A
N/A
$122,108
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vegas wins by over 3.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$138,814
N/A
N/A
$74,622
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vegas wins by over 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,281
N/A
N/A
$38,017
Settled
No
kalshi

Vegas wins by over 5.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,741
N/A
N/A
$15,523
Settled
No
kalshi

Vegas wins by over 6.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,326
N/A
N/A
$11,828
Settled
No
kalshi

Calgary wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,390
N/A
N/A
$4,266
Settled
No
kalshi

Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,315
N/A
N/A
$2,917
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks whether Vegas will win against Calgary by more than 1.5 goals in their upcoming NHL game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Vegas winning by over 1.5 goals. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Calgary vs Vegas NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of play on October 15, 2026.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on whether Vegas or Calgary wins by over specified goal margins in the Oct 15, 2026 NHL game. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, markets stay open and resolve using the official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Calgary vs Vegas spread tracks the current price of the spread, its price history over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $748,468, and the total volume traded on this market is $755,454. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their predictions about the final point spread of the game through buy and sell orders, which dynamically adjust the price displayed on the dashboard. This allows you to see how the market's sentiment is evolving as new information becomes available.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Calgary vs Vegas spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the spread will be a certain value, they will buy contracts at that price, driving it higher, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Calgary vs Vegas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contracts they held. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting the latest information.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Calgary or Vegas teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, major weather forecasts affecting game conditions, or even significant public betting patterns observed in sportsbooks, could all contribute to movement in the Calgary vs Vegas spread. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities reflected in this market.