TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.9b
24H VOL:
$213,626,991
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,816,443,416
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,855,805,452
492,440
Markets across
36,631
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,819
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 16, 1:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Vegas will win against Calgary by more than 1.5 goals in their upcoming NHL game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Vegas winning by over 1.5 goals. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Calgary vs Vegas NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of play on October 15, 2026.
Markets resolve based on whether Vegas or Calgary wins by over specified goal margins in the Oct 15, 2026 NHL game. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, markets stay open and resolve using the official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Calgary vs Vegas spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the spread will be a certain value, they will buy contracts at that price, driving it higher, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Calgary vs Vegas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contracts they held. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting the latest information.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Calgary or Vegas teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, major weather forecasts affecting game conditions, or even significant public betting patterns observed in sportsbooks, could all contribute to movement in the Calgary vs Vegas spread. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities reflected in this market.