TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.9b
24H VOL:
$213,626,991
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,816,443,416
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,855,805,452
492,440
Markets across
36,631
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,819
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 16, 12:47 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Vegas will win its NHL game against Calgary. Currently, Kalshi gives Vegas a 99.0% probability of winning, while Calgary is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Calgary vs Vegas NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Vegas wins the match scheduled to conclude by the resolution date of October 16, 2026.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between Calgary and Vegas scheduled for October 15, 2026. If Vegas wins the game, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Calgary wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original schedule, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Calgary vs Vegas game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing expectations about the Calgary vs Vegas game, providing a real-time assessment of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Calgary vs Vegas game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even unexpected weather conditions could all shift expectations. Significant news coverage or public statements from coaches or players could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market related to the Calgary vs Vegas game.