TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 2:16 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored by both teams in an upcoming NHL game, allowing participants to predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final tally of goals, including those scored in overtime, with shootout goals counted as one goal each. Markets resolve based on the official game result, with specific provisions for postponements or cancellations.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Calgary vs Seattle NHL game scheduled for September 24, 2026, with each market corresponding to a different threshold (e.g., Over 1.5, Over 2.5, etc.). Goals scored during regulation and overtime count normally, while a shootout result contributes one goal to the winning team's total. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The structure ensures consistent evaluation across all thresholds, with each market independently assessing whether the actual goal total exceeds its specific benchmark.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often begin with lines influenced by statistical models and team news, while this market evolves as bettors trade contracts based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market can shift more rapidly than traditional sportsbook lines. It’s common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist due to differing market participants and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of conviction behind each possible outcome, allowing traders to assess the potential value of different positions.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Calgary vs Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the league, and will determine which outcome – representing a specific total goal range – is the winning contract. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact the price action in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Calgary or Seattle would likely cause shifts, as would changes in weather conditions expected during the game. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could affect market sentiment. Finally, public perception and media coverage leading up to the game can also contribute to price movements in this market.