TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The same two teams face off in a professional CFL football game where the winner is determined outright. The match outcome will settle markets based solely on which team secures the victory, regardless of score margin.
This event includes two markets determining the outright winner of the Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks CFL game scheduled for September 12, 2026. The 'Edmonton Elks' market resolves to Yes if they win, while the 'Calgary Stampeders' market resolves to Yes if they win. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Cancellations or reschedules beyond two days result in fair price resolution. Ties resolve as 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the CFL, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately assess probabilities. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge due to varying information sources and analytical approaches. It's common to see this market incorporate news and insights that haven't fully impacted sportsbook lines, or to reflect public sentiment more accurately than a sportsbook’s initial assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market’s depth—the number of contracts available at various price points—indicates the level of confidence traders have in each outcome. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Calgary Stampeders versus Edmonton Elks game. The final score and official game statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to this date for any developments that could influence the game’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Calgary Stampeders or the Edmonton Elks would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts for the game day could also influence trading activity, as weather conditions can affect the style of play and overall game outcome. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also move the market. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and fan discussions, can also play a role in shaping trader opinions and thus, the market price.