TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariia Nozdrachova and Kayla Cross in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariia Nozdrachova' if Mariia Nozdrachova advances against Kayla Cross. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Cross' if Kayla Cross advances against Mariia Nozdrachova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariia Nozdrachova and Kayla Cross in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariia Nozdrachova' if Mariia Nozdrachova advances against Kayla Cross. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Cross' if Kayla Cross advances against Mariia Nozdrachova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of expertise among participants. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the perceived value of different outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood, with current volume at $6,151.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mariia Nozdrachova versus Kayla Cross match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the resolution process and timing.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or significant media coverage focusing on one athlete’s strengths or weaknesses, could also drive price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probabilities of either Mariia Nozdrachova or Kayla Cross winning will likely be reflected in the market’s price action.