TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Erika Andreeva and Viktoria Hruncakova in Caldas da Rainha will be completed, with the leading outcome currently at 100.0% on Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores page at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Additionally, a secondary outcome tracks whether Erika Andreeva will win by a margin of at least 1.5 games, currently priced at 0.5%. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, as this is when the event window begins and the potential for resolution starts.
This market refers to the tennis match between Erika Andreeva and Viktoria Hruncakova in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erika Andreeva' if Erika Andreeva advances against Viktoria Hruncakova. This market will resolve to 'Viktoria Hruncakova' if Viktoria Hruncakova advances against Erika Andreeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants, or from the influence of public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially when new developments emerge that affect the perceived probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Erika Andreeva will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Caldas da Rainha match between Erika Andreeva and Viktoria Hruncakova, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Erika Andreeva or Viktoria Hruncakova, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in surface conditions or weather forecasts at Caldas da Rainha could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ chances of winning could move this market.