TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 1:38 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an NCAA Men's Soccer match between Cal Poly Mustangs and San Jose State Spartans. The result will be determined by which team wins in regular time, including stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. If the game ends with both teams level, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Cal Poly Mustangs vs San Jose State Spartans NCAA Men's Soccer match scheduled for August 27, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the associated team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; a tie market resolves if the game ends level after regular time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets settle at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The operator disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA or participating teams.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and event-specific dynamics. While sportsbooks may set lines based on historical data and broader public betting, prediction markets let participants price in real-time information, such as recent team performance or injury updates. This can create divergence, especially as the game nears, when market participants react quickly to new developments.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, which is compared against the market’s defined conditions. Once the game concludes and results are widely reported, the market settles based on that verified data, closing all positions and paying out accordingly.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent performance trends can all shift this market. As the game approaches, any last-minute roster updates, weather conditions, or even shifts in betting sentiment may cause price fluctuations. Traders will react to any news that impacts the perceived likelihood of each team winning, potentially moving odds significantly in the final days before resolution.