TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Long Beach State Beach (W)
Volume:
$14,564
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Cal Poly Mustangs and Long Beach State Beach scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Cal Poly win and Long Beach win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate winners from losers.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken—both outcomes resolve to Yes, which violates basic prediction market semantics. Polymarket's binary structure is the only tradeable version. Report Kalshi market to platform support for correction or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Proper binary market with mutually exclusive outcomes. Cal Poly win resolves to Cal Poly Mustangs; Long Beach win resolves to Long Beach State Beach. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective market structure. Both Cal Poly victory and Long Beach victory are explicitly stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical tautology where the market cannot distinguish between winning and losing outcomes, rendering it unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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