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Closed: Jul 23, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Caitlin Clark will record at least 40 points in any single game during the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball regular season. On Kalshi, the probability of this outcome occurring stands at 29.0%. Resolution is determined by official Women's Pro Basketball records, with the market settling based on whether Clark achieves a 40-point performance in any individual regular season game. Watch for Clark's scoring output during the opening weeks of the 2026 regular season, as early-season performance will signal whether she is on pace to reach this threshold.
If Caitlin Clark records at least 40 points in any individual game in the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves on Nov 1, 2026, marking the end of the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball regular season. Resolution is determined by whether Caitlin Clark scores 40 or more points in any single regular-season game before that date. If she achieves this milestone in at least one game, the market resolves affirmatively. If the regular season concludes without a 40-point game from Clark, the market resolves negatively. The outcome is based on official league statistics and box scores.
Key catalysts include Clark's actual scoring performance in upcoming games, particularly in matchups against weaker defenses or in high-tempo contests. Injuries to her or key teammates could shift odds downward by reducing scoring opportunities. Changes in team offensive strategy, coaching adjustments, or trades involving her team may alter her usage rate and shot volume. Seasonal trends in her scoring average, playoff seeding implications, and late-season momentum swings all influence trader expectations. Each game Clark plays without reaching 40 points incrementally reduces the probability, while a near-40-point performance could spike odds upward.