This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Cagliari Calcio and US Lecce scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets span moneyline outcomes (Kalshi), total goals over/under thresholds at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 (Polymarket), a spread bet on Cagliari winning by 2+ goals (Polymarket), and a both-teams-to-score prop (Polymarket).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently reference legaseriea.it as the official source, apply 90-minute plus stoppage time window, exclude extra time and penalties, and employ identical postponement and cancellation protocols.
Primary resolution logic:
legaseriea.it (official Lega Serie A)
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded
Moneyline (Kalshi): Market resolves Yes for whichever outcome occurs (Cagliari win, Lecce win, or tie)
Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over if combined total >= 2 goals; Under if < 2
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over if combined total >= 3 goals; Under if < 3
Over/Under 3.5 goals: Over if combined total >= 4 goals; Under if < 4
Over/Under 4.5 goals: Over if combined total >= 5 goals; Under if < 5
Spread Cagliari (-1.5): Cagliari wins if they win by 2+ goals; otherwise US Lecce wins
Both Teams to Score: Yes if each team scores >= 1 goal; No if either team scores 0
Postponement: Markets remain open until match completion
Cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
Incomplete match: Official legaseriea.it final score applies
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then follows standard logic based on the final score.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split between Yes and No, or between outcomes for multi-way markets).
Incomplete Match: If the match begins but does not complete (e.g., abandoned), resolution is determined by the official final score published on legaseriea.it at the time of abandonment.
Extra Time and Penalties: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts. Only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time counts toward resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final whistle at 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 16, 2026, based on the official legaseriea.it publication of the match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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