TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce
polymarket
kalshi

Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce

Volume:
$808,872

US Lecce

 - Polymarket

US Lecce - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 17, 2026

Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-16?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

US Lecce

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140,859
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$37,797
$66,972
0%
0%
$42,266
N/A
polymarket

Cagliari Calcio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$421,778
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145,550
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$3,452
$25,888
0%
0%
$18,959
N/A
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,827
$4,667
0%
0%
$4,516
N/A
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$6,039
$3,159
0%
0%
$3,159
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the Serie A match between Cagliari Calcio and US Lecce scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets span three outcome types (Cagliari win, draw, Lecce win) on Polymarket and four over/under total goals markets on Kalshi, all resolving based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines cancellation resolution (draw resolves YES, win/loss resolve NO), while Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely. This creates potential payout asymmetry and ambiguity on an edge case.Hero tip: Monitor for any league announcements of postponement or cancellation. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders should expect the draw market to resolve YES and win/loss markets to resolve NO. Kalshi traders should seek clarification from the platform on whether cancellation triggers a void, refund, or alternative resolution before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Cagliari win, draw, Lecce win) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup: win/loss markets resolve NO, draw market resolves YES. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
  • Kalshi: Four over/under total goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided; resolution mechanism for game cancellation is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.