TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce
Volume:
$808,872
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Serie A match between Cagliari Calcio and US Lecce scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets span three outcome types (Cagliari win, draw, Lecce win) on Polymarket and four over/under total goals markets on Kalshi, all resolving based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly defines cancellation resolution (draw resolves YES, win/loss resolve NO), while Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely. This creates potential payout asymmetry and ambiguity on an edge case.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any league announcements of postponement or cancellation. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders should expect the draw market to resolve YES and win/loss markets to resolve NO. Kalshi traders should seek clarification from the platform on whether cancellation triggers a void, refund, or alternative resolution before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Cagliari win, draw, Lecce win) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup: win/loss markets resolve NO, draw market resolves YES. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
- Kalshi: Four over/under total goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided; resolution mechanism for game cancellation is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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