TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Cagliari Calcio and US Cremonese scheduled for April 11, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: whether Cagliari wins, whether Cremonese wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across Polymarket and Kalshi markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie A official statistics (legaseriea.it); if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensusCore resolution logic:
- Match result is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
- Cagliari win market resolves Yes if Cagliari scores more goals than Cremonese, No otherwise
- Cremonese win market resolves Yes if Cremonese scores more goals than Cagliari, No otherwise
- Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals, No if either team wins
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game, win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and the result is known
- Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Cagliari win and Cremonese win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes
- Official statistics delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources
- Mutual exclusivity: The three outcomes are mutually exclusive; exactly one market (Cagliari win, Cremonese win, or draw) will resolve Yes based on the final 90-minute result
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on April 11, 2026, with official statistics expected within 2 hours of final whistleOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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