TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Cache is played as a map four or more times during Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026, as shown on HLTV.org. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, each Cache map must begin and have at least one round played to count. Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is currently scheduled for July 15–18, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 maps statistics page: https://www.hltv.org/stats/maps?event=9173 If Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is canceled before it starts, this market will resolve to "NO." If Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation, postponement, or rescheduling. If the relevant HLTV map statistics for Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 are not available by August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if Cache is played as a map four or more times during Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026, as shown on HLTV.org. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, each Cache map must begin and have at least one round played to count. Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is currently scheduled for July 15–18, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 maps statistics page: https://www.hltv.org/stats/maps?event=9173 If Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is canceled before it starts, this market will resolve to "NO." If Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation, postponement, or rescheduling. If the relevant HLTV map statistics for Stake Ranked Episode 3 2026 are not available by August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction markets like this one differ fundamentally from traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed lines, traders here directly buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in the outcome. This creates a dynamic price that adjusts in real time as new information surfaces. Sportsbooks typically offer tighter spreads but less flexibility; prediction markets reward early insight and allow continuous position adjustment. For niche esports outcomes like map frequency, prediction markets often provide more granular pricing than conventional betting venues.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to the outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the consensus probability among active traders at any given moment. As new evidence emerges—such as team announcements, map pool updates, or tournament format changes—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous repricing ensures the odds stay aligned with real-world expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once Stake Ranked Episode 3 concludes and the final map count is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome hinges on whether Cache appears in four or more matches during the episode. Resolution occurs after the tournament organizer publishes official results and match records. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as the episode unfolds and map selections become known.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly. Official announcements about the map pool or tournament format would provide concrete data. Team roster changes or recent map performance trends in scrims and qualifiers often influence trader expectations. As Episode 3 begins and early matches are played, actual map selections will drive rapid repricing. Commentary from pro players or analysts about meta shifts and team preferences can also sway sentiment. Any changes to competitive rules or scheduling could reshape predictions about map frequency.