TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 9:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the exact final score of a Primera División Argentina match between CA Vélez Sarsfield and Instituto AC Córdoba scheduled for July 24, 2026. Polymarket offers 18 discrete exact-score outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi offers four goal-differential markets (Vélez by >2.5, Vélez by >1.5, Instituto by >1.5, Instituto by >2.5). Both platforms resolve on the 90-minute regulation result only, excluding extra time and penalties.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Vélez Sarsfield and Instituto AC Córdoba, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba match originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution is determined by the goal margin of victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market outcome specifies a winning team and a minimum goal differential threshold. A Yes resolution occurs when the specified team wins by more than the stated goal margin (either more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals). If the match ends in a draw or the winning team's margin does not exceed the threshold, the market resolves to No.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from open trader competition—buy and sell orders from participants risking real capital. Over time, prediction market prices often converge toward true probabilities because traders profit by identifying mispricings. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the two venues diverge, signaling potential value or consensus shifts in how the event is perceived.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift perceived offensive and defensive strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any roster changes will influence trader positioning. Betting volume spikes on major sportsbooks often precede prediction market moves, as sharp bettors act first. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking tactical news can also trigger repricing. As kickoff approaches, prices typically tighten and volatility may spike if new information emerges or if one outcome begins to dominate trader conviction.